Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs Cates 45.5% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Cates 51.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 53.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Luostarinen
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
45.5% (756)
+0.2%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
42.1% (114)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
44.7% (47)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Luostarinen shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Cates
Home
44.4% (36)
46.2% (468)
Away
43.3% (90)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Luostarinen
Cates
P1
38.9%
46.0%
P2
44.7%
47.5%
P3
45.1%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%