Eetu Luostarinen vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Hertl 54.3% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 60.3%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 63.5%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 68.5%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Luostarinen
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Luostarinen
Hertl
Last 10: Luostarinen 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Luostarinen
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
5
4
Luostarinen
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
6
Luostarinen
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (1,784)
53.9% (8,303)
-9.3%
Power Play
43.5% (69)
59.2% (1,995)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (206)
46.3% (806)
-8.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,369).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hertl
Home
44.8% (1,015)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
43.0% (1,044)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hertl
P1
43.0%
53.6%
P2
45.4%
54.2%
P3
43.2%
55.3%
OT
37.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
44.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |