Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 76.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 77.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 80.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Nelson
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nelson
Lindholm
Last 8: Nelson 2-6 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Nelson
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Nelson
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
54.0% (494)
-11.0%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
66.3% (83)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
53.4% (58)
-9.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Nelson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Nelson shoots left. Lindholm is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lindholm
Home
41.9% (391)
60.2% (314)
Away
45.5% (400)
51.1% (321)
By Period
Nelson
Lindholm
P1
47.1%
59.8%
P2
43.0%
53.9%
P3
40.9%
52.7%
OT
63.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
43.7%
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |