Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Rodrigues 46.3% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 55.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 50.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Rodrigues
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
45.6% (250)
+9.3%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
40.0% (30)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
50.0% (2)
-0.6%
On power play, Lindholm has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lindholm shoots right. Rodrigues is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Home
54.4% (688)
46.5% (142)
Away
56.1% (686)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Lindholm
Rodrigues
P1
57.2%
42.9%
P2
54.3%
50.0%
P3
54.2%
42.4%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.2%
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |