Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 71.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 70.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 72.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Lindholm
Rodrigues
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Lindholm
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
47.8% (651)
+7.0%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
47.2% (72)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
36.8% (68)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rodrigues
Home
56.6% (578)
47.9% (445)
Away
54.9% (455)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Lindholm
Rodrigues
P1
55.2%
48.3%
P2
56.3%
47.0%
P3
56.3%
44.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |