Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Hughes 39.5% (+19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 81.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 88.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 71.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Lindholm
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
36.7% (305)
+18.1%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
14.3% (7)
+48.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
33.3% (6)
+18.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hughes
Home
56.6% (578)
35.8% (159)
Away
54.9% (455)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Lindholm
Hughes
P1
55.2%
42.3%
P2
56.3%
28.2%
P3
56.3%
37.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |