Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Hughes 36.5% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 83.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 99.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 97.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 95.5%
95.5%
4.5%
Lindholm
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Lindholm
Hughes
Last 10: Lindholm 9-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
0
Lindholm
Hughes
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
36.0% (2,926)
+17.8%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
38.8% (224)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
31.0% (42)
+17.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hughes
Home
54.2% (5,980)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Lindholm
Hughes
P1
54.2%
36.9%
P2
54.5%
33.4%
P3
53.0%
38.2%
OT
53.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |