Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.7%). Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Evans 55.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 79.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Lindholm
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lindholm
Evans
Last 7: Lindholm 3-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Lindholm
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Lindholm
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
55.6% (522)
-0.8%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
72.7% (11)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
55.2% (210)
-3.0%
On power play, Evans has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Evans
Home
56.6% (578)
54.7% (402)
Away
54.9% (455)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Lindholm
Evans
P1
55.2%
57.9%
P2
56.3%
55.2%
P3
56.3%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |