Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Evans 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 70.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Lindholm
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
23
(40 meetings)
17
23
Lindholm
Evans
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
6
Lindholm
Evans
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
6
10
Lindholm
Evans
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Lindholm
Evans
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
53.7% (3,740)
+0.1%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
60.6% (71)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
47.1% (1,228)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,748).
Lindholm shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Evans
Home
54.2% (5,980)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Lindholm
Evans
P1
54.2%
54.0%
P2
54.5%
50.9%
P3
53.0%
52.0%
OT
53.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |