Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.5%). Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 61.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 65.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Lindholm
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lindholm
Pavelski
Last 6: Lindholm 3-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Lindholm
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Lindholm
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
52.5% (570)
-0.1%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
54.5% (145)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
44.4% (36)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Lindholm shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pavelski
Home
52.3% (771)
55.0% (391)
Away
53.5% (821)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Lindholm
Pavelski
P1
50.7%
50.8%
P2
55.3%
55.0%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
29.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |