Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Lindholm
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lindholm
Pavelski
Last 8: Lindholm 5-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Lindholm
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
51.5% (594)
+5.8%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
51.7% (87)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
28.6% (14)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pavelski
Home
55.2% (667)
53.1% (339)
Away
57.5% (669)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Lindholm
Pavelski
P1
54.7%
53.8%
P2
55.5%
47.8%
P3
58.5%
50.2%
OT
64.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |