Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Norris 49.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 82.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 72.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 61.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Lindholm
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lindholm
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
50.2% (203)
+3.3%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
44.4% (36)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
42.9% (7)
+6.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Norris is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Norris
Home
55.5% (431)
44.3% (115)
Away
52.7% (298)
53.4% (131)
By Period
Lindholm
Norris
P1
52.3%
52.1%
P2
54.8%
50.0%
P3
56.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
58.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |