Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 30 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Norris 52.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 42-38 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 50.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Lindholm
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
42
(80 meetings)
38
42
Lindholm
Norris
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
15
15
Lindholm
Norris
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
13
7
Lindholm
Norris
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
10
20
Lindholm
Norris
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
52.5% (3,089)
+1.3%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
53.4% (412)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
45.4% (240)
+2.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Norris
Home
54.2% (5,980)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Lindholm
Norris
P1
54.2%
55.5%
P2
54.5%
51.5%
P3
53.0%
50.1%
OT
53.6%
39.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OT | 04:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Josh Norris |