Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Rossi 49.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 75.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 75.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 67.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Lindholm
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Rossi
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Rossi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
51.6% (440)
+3.2%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
35.1% (37)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
37.0% (27)
+15.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rossi
Home
56.6% (578)
50.0% (260)
Away
54.9% (455)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Lindholm
Rossi
P1
55.2%
53.7%
P2
56.3%
47.6%
P3
56.3%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:49 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |