Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Rossi 46.8% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 90.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 97.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 89.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Lindholm
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Lindholm
Rossi
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
4
Lindholm
Rossi
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
3
Lindholm
Rossi
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
3
Lindholm
Rossi
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
46.8% (2,180)
+7.0%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
47.1% (189)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
34.1% (44)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rossi
Home
54.2% (5,980)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Lindholm
Rossi
P1
54.2%
47.1%
P2
54.5%
44.7%
P3
53.0%
48.2%
OT
53.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | OT | 00:49 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |