Elias Lindholm vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bourque on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Bourque 46.2% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bourque 72.7%
Defensive zone
Bourque 81.5%
Neutral zone
Bourque 77.7%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Lindholm
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lindholm
Bourque
Last 5: Lindholm 1-4 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Bourque
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
3
Lindholm
Bourque
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
46.6% (513)
+7.2%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
26.1% (23)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
42.9% (28)
+5.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,748).
Lindholm shoots right. Bourque is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Bourque
Home
54.2% (5,980)
47.1% (263)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
44.2% (301)
By Period
Lindholm
Bourque
P1
54.2%
42.7%
P2
54.5%
42.8%
P3
53.0%
50.2%
OT
53.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |