Elias Lindholm vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs McCarron 52.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 88.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 51.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Lindholm
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lindholm
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
52.8% (697)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
18.2% (11)
+44.1%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
52.6% (211)
-0.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. McCarron is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McCarron
Home
56.6% (578)
52.8% (477)
Away
54.9% (455)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Lindholm
McCarron
P1
55.2%
56.2%
P2
56.3%
52.4%
P3
56.3%
48.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |