Elias Lindholm vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs McCarron 52.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 71.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 81.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 63.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Lindholm
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Lindholm
McCarron
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
McCarron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
6
Lindholm
McCarron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
53.3% (2,926)
+0.5%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
45.3% (86)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
50.1% (469)
-1.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,748).
Lindholm shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McCarron
Home
54.2% (5,980)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Lindholm
McCarron
P1
54.2%
53.8%
P2
54.5%
52.3%
P3
53.0%
51.9%
OT
53.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |