Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Frost 56.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 66.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Lindholm
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lindholm
Frost
Last 7: Lindholm 4-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
56.0% (755)
-1.2%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
60.1% (173)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
88.9% (9)
-36.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Frost
Home
56.6% (578)
57.3% (497)
Away
54.9% (455)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Lindholm
Frost
P1
55.2%
60.2%
P2
56.3%
56.0%
P3
56.3%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |