Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Frost 50.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 27-14 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 81.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 95.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 86.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Lindholm
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
14
(41 meetings)
27
14
Lindholm
Frost
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
11
6
Lindholm
Frost
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
11
5
Lindholm
Frost
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
3
Lindholm
Frost
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
49.6% (3,642)
+4.2%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
55.5% (631)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
55.0% (40)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Frost
Home
54.2% (5,980)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Lindholm
Frost
P1
54.2%
51.1%
P2
54.5%
51.3%
P3
53.0%
48.7%
OT
53.6%
64.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |