Elias Lindholm vs Nathan MacKinnon

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Lindholm holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Lindholm 53.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor Lindholm leads 47-25 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone Lindholm 92.1%
Defensive zone Lindholm 96.4%
Neutral zone Lindholm 95.8%
Result Elias Lindholm favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Lindholm MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
47 - 25 (72 meetings)
47
25
Lindholm MacKinnon
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
18
11
Lindholm MacKinnon
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
13
7
Lindholm MacKinnon
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
16
7
Lindholm MacKinnon
23 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
46.1% (11,264)
+7.7%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
53.2% (1,421)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
42.8% (502)
+5.5%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +7.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,748).
Lindholm shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Lindholm
MacKinnon
Home
54.2% (5,980)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Lindholm
MacKinnon
P1
54.2%
47.4%
P2
54.5%
46.6%
P3
53.0%
46.1%
OT
53.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%
60.5%
53.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%
50.5%
46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 25, 2025 3 11:14 Defensive Elias Lindholm
Oct 25, 2025 1 09:56 Defensive Elias Lindholm
Oct 25, 2025 1 04:16 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 25, 2025 1 03:58 Offensive Elias Lindholm
Oct 25, 2025 1 00:54 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 18, 2025 2 12:15 Defensive Elias Lindholm
Oct 18, 2025 1 11:18 Offensive Elias Lindholm
Oct 18, 2025 1 00:59 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 25, 2025 3 14:47 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 25, 2025 3 12:07 Neutral Elias Lindholm
Jan 25, 2025 2 16:02 Defensive Elias Lindholm
Jan 25, 2025 2 10:47 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 25, 2025 1 08:33 Defensive Elias Lindholm
Jan 25, 2025 1 06:30 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 16, 2024 2 05:12 Offensive Elias Lindholm
Oct 16, 2024 1 19:35 Offensive Elias Lindholm
Mar 13, 2024 2 19:44 Defensive Elias Lindholm
Mar 13, 2024 2 14:56 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 20, 2024 2 03:20 Neutral Elias Lindholm
Feb 20, 2024 1 15:03 Neutral Elias Lindholm