Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Foligno 49.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 50.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 71.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 69.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Lindholm
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lindholm
Foligno
Last 8: Lindholm 3-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
4
Lindholm
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
49.3% (215)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
57.1% (35)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
41.9% (43)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Foligno is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Foligno
Home
55.5% (431)
47.5% (158)
Away
52.7% (298)
51.1% (135)
By Period
Lindholm
Foligno
P1
52.3%
42.7%
P2
54.8%
51.4%
P3
56.3%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |