Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 69.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 61.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 63.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Lindholm
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
23
(43 meetings)
20
23
Lindholm
Foligno
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
10
5
Lindholm
Foligno
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
8
Lindholm
Foligno
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
10
Lindholm
Foligno
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
48.3% (2,840)
+5.5%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
52.3% (731)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
44.0% (457)
+4.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Foligno
Home
54.2% (5,980)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Lindholm
Foligno
P1
54.2%
47.8%
P2
54.5%
50.5%
P3
53.0%
48.2%
OT
53.6%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |