Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Foligno 49.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 61.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 67.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Lindholm
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Lindholm
Foligno
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
6
Lindholm
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
49.5% (291)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
55.8% (43)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
47.2% (53)
+5.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Foligno
Home
56.6% (578)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.9% (455)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Lindholm
Foligno
P1
55.2%
43.0%
P2
56.3%
55.9%
P3
56.3%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |