Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Paul 53.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 54.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 59.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lindholm
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lindholm
Paul
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
6
Lindholm
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
53.1% (710)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
57.3% (199)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
58.0% (69)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Paul
Home
55.2% (667)
56.0% (466)
Away
57.5% (669)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Lindholm
Paul
P1
54.7%
57.2%
P2
55.5%
54.9%
P3
58.5%
51.5%
OT
64.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |