Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Paul 52.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 41-33 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 77.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 58.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 62.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Lindholm
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
33
(74 meetings)
41
33
Lindholm
Paul
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
13
14
Lindholm
Paul
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
12
16
Lindholm
Paul
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
16
3
Lindholm
Paul
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
52.6% (3,823)
+1.2%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
56.2% (484)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
46.9% (576)
+1.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Paul
Home
54.2% (5,980)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Lindholm
Paul
P1
54.2%
53.8%
P2
54.5%
51.0%
P3
53.0%
52.2%
OT
53.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |