Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Greig 51.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 74.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Lindholm
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Greig
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Lindholm
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
51.9% (347)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
66.7% (24)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
44.8% (87)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Greig
Home
56.6% (578)
50.4% (254)
Away
54.9% (455)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Lindholm
Greig
P1
55.2%
45.9%
P2
56.3%
60.1%
P3
56.3%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |