Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Greig 49.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 95.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 71.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 88.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Lindholm
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Lindholm
Greig
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
1
Lindholm
Greig
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
Lindholm
Greig
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
2
Lindholm
Greig
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
48.7% (1,144)
+5.1%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
56.8% (74)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
47.2% (178)
+1.1%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Greig
Home
54.2% (5,980)
49.9% (688)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Lindholm
Greig
P1
54.2%
46.0%
P2
54.5%
51.8%
P3
53.0%
49.1%
OT
53.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |