Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs McLeod 47.4% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 91.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 66.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 79.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Lindholm
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Lindholm
McLeod
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
2
Lindholm
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
6
Lindholm
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
49.0% (827)
+5.8%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
44.0% (91)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
43.0% (272)
+9.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McLeod
Home
56.6% (578)
48.5% (619)
Away
54.9% (455)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Lindholm
McLeod
P1
55.2%
52.7%
P2
56.3%
43.9%
P3
56.3%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |