Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs McLeod 49.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 37-23 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 94.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 79.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 86.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Lindholm
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
23
(60 meetings)
37
23
Lindholm
McLeod
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
21
8
Lindholm
McLeod
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
11
10
Lindholm
McLeod
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Lindholm
McLeod
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
50.4% (3,376)
+3.4%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
50.7% (296)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
44.1% (644)
+4.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McLeod
Home
54.2% (5,980)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Lindholm
McLeod
P1
54.2%
50.8%
P2
54.5%
48.0%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
OT
53.6%
37.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |