Elias Lindholm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 53.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 53.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
47.6% (189)
+5.9%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
100.0% (2)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
29.4% (17)
+19.8%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.5% (431)
48.5% (132)
Away
52.7% (298)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.3%
51.4%
P2
54.8%
41.3%
P3
56.3%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |