Elias Lindholm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 53.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 60.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
46.0% (250)
+8.8%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
70.6% (17)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
31.8% (22)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.6% (578)
50.3% (175)
Away
54.9% (455)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.2%
48.5%
P2
56.3%
45.9%
P3
56.3%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |