Elias Lindholm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 34 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 57-31 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 96.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 97.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 94.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
31
(88 meetings)
57
31
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
27
7
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
11
8
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
19
16
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
44.8% (8,775)
+9.0%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
50.6% (844)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
37.8% (880)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.2% (5,980)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.2%
45.1%
P2
54.5%
43.9%
P3
53.0%
45.2%
OT
53.6%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |