Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Monahan 52.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 86.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 82.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 71.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Lindholm
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Lindholm
Monahan
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
4
Lindholm
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
1
Lindholm
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
53.0% (874)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
54.7% (161)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
47.5% (101)
+4.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Monahan
Home
56.6% (578)
53.8% (558)
Away
54.9% (455)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Lindholm
Monahan
P1
55.2%
49.5%
P2
56.3%
54.8%
P3
56.3%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |