Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 34 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Monahan 51.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 47-44 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 60.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lindholm
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
47
(91 meetings)
44
47
Lindholm
Monahan
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
11
23
Lindholm
Monahan
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
24
17
Lindholm
Monahan
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
7
Lindholm
Monahan
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
51.1% (11,407)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
53.6% (2,582)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
45.9% (772)
+2.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Monahan
Home
54.2% (5,980)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Lindholm
Monahan
P1
54.2%
51.0%
P2
54.5%
51.7%
P3
53.0%
51.0%
OT
53.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |