Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Crosby 52.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 91.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 76.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Lindholm
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Lindholm
Crosby
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
3
Lindholm
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
1
Lindholm
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
52.5% (1,443)
+5.2%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
54.7% (369)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
55.9% (34)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Crosby
Home
55.7% (760)
53.0% (931)
Away
55.8% (778)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Lindholm
Crosby
P1
53.7%
50.3%
P2
58.3%
55.4%
P3
55.1%
53.3%
OT
59.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |