Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Crosby 55.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 58.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 56.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Lindholm
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lindholm
Crosby
Last 7: Lindholm 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Lindholm
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Lindholm
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
53.3% (1,025)
+1.5%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
64.7% (249)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
60.0% (15)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Crosby
Home
56.6% (578)
56.9% (675)
Away
54.9% (455)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Lindholm
Crosby
P1
55.2%
55.1%
P2
56.3%
53.1%
P3
56.3%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |