Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Crosby 55.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 67.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Lindholm
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lindholm
Crosby
Last 7: Lindholm 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Lindholm
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Lindholm
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
53.2% (877)
+0.3%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
63.8% (210)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
64.3% (14)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Crosby is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Crosby
Home
55.5% (431)
56.4% (578)
Away
52.7% (298)
54.3% (523)
By Period
Lindholm
Crosby
P1
52.3%
57.0%
P2
54.8%
51.4%
P3
56.3%
57.9%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
58.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |