Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 83.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 66.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Lindholm
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
49.3% (670)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
53.7% (121)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
33.3% (3)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lindholm shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Stamkos
Home
54.4% (688)
54.0% (400)
Away
56.1% (686)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Lindholm
Stamkos
P1
57.2%
48.6%
P2
54.3%
54.5%
P3
54.2%
45.4%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |