Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Zegras 42.6% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 80.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 93.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 92.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Lindholm
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lindholm
Zegras
Last 5: Lindholm 4-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
41.1% (559)
+16.6%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
50.0% (12)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
50.0% (2)
-1.4%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zegras
Home
55.7% (760)
45.7% (247)
Away
55.8% (778)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Lindholm
Zegras
P1
53.7%
45.5%
P2
58.3%
36.8%
P3
55.1%
41.1%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |