Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +23.0% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Zegras 37.0% (+23.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 66.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 89.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 82.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Lindholm
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
33.0% (264)
+21.8%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
32.1% (56)
+30.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
50.0% (2)
+2.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zegras
Home
56.6% (578)
35.3% (173)
Away
54.9% (455)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Lindholm
Zegras
P1
55.2%
33.0%
P2
56.3%
35.7%
P3
56.3%
29.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |