Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Gourde 46.0% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 87.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 62.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 66.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lindholm
Gourde
Last 7: Lindholm 4-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Lindholm
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
47.2% (687)
+7.6%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
45.0% (20)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
33.0% (88)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
56.6% (578)
44.4% (356)
Away
54.9% (455)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
55.2%
42.2%
P2
56.3%
50.0%
P3
56.3%
44.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |