Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 35-29 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 65.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 69.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 66.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Lindholm
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
35
(64 meetings)
29
35
Lindholm
Gourde
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
12
12
Lindholm
Gourde
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
8
16
Lindholm
Gourde
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
7
Lindholm
Gourde
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
48.4% (4,987)
+5.4%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
57.4% (376)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
40.0% (555)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,950).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gourde
Home
54.2% (5,980)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Lindholm
Gourde
P1
54.2%
49.8%
P2
54.5%
47.5%
P3
53.0%
47.5%
OT
53.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |