Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs McBain 50.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 67.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 52.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Pettersson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Pettersson
McBain
Last 9: Pettersson 4-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
5
Pettersson
McBain
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
52.5% (569)
-6.6%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
42.1% (19)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
36.2% (47)
-0.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McBain
Home
49.1% (607)
52.4% (309)
Away
44.7% (595)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Pettersson
McBain
P1
45.5%
54.0%
P2
48.0%
52.7%
P3
47.1%
46.5%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |