Elias Pettersson vs Jack McBain
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.6%). Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs McBain 46.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 69.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 57.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Pettersson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Pettersson
McBain
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
8
4
Pettersson
McBain
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
6
9
Pettersson
McBain
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
48.1% (2,322)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
44.6% (56)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
35.6% (309)
+3.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McBain
Home
46.8% (2,757)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Pettersson
McBain
P1
44.7%
47.1%
P2
46.1%
47.4%
P3
47.4%
45.4%
OT
39.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |