Elias Pettersson vs Jake Guentzel
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.6%). Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.3% vs Guentzel 48.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 58.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 69.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.8%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Pettersson
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
Guentzel
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
2
Pettersson
Guentzel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
49.1% (230)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
44.9% (118)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
46.2% (26)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Pettersson is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (771).
Pettersson shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Guentzel
Home
49.1% (607)
50.2% (205)
Away
44.9% (575)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Pettersson
Guentzel
P1
46.1%
47.6%
P2
48.1%
49.0%
P3
46.8%
46.2%
OT
47.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |