Elias Pettersson vs Jake Guentzel
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 47.6%). Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Guentzel 48.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 57.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 69.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.1%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Pettersson
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
Guentzel
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
2
Pettersson
Guentzel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
49.1% (230)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
44.9% (118)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
46.2% (26)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Guentzel
Home
49.1% (607)
50.2% (205)
Away
44.7% (595)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Pettersson
Guentzel
P1
45.5%
47.6%
P2
48.0%
49.0%
P3
47.1%
46.2%
OT
47.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |