Elias Pettersson vs Jake Guentzel
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.4%). Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Guentzel 46.7% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 61.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 77.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Pettersson
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pettersson
Guentzel
Last 7: Pettersson 3-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
3
Pettersson
Guentzel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
46.4% (715)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
46.6% (298)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
43.2% (44)
-4.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Guentzel
Home
46.8% (2,757)
48.9% (583)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Pettersson
Guentzel
P1
44.7%
48.0%
P2
46.1%
45.5%
P3
47.4%
46.0%
OT
39.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |