Elias Pettersson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Pageau 59.0% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Pettersson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Pettersson
Pageau
Last 9: Pettersson 5-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
4
Pettersson
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
59.4% (726)
-13.5%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
69.0% (42)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
59.7% (221)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pageau
Home
49.1% (607)
58.4% (430)
Away
44.7% (595)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Pettersson
Pageau
P1
45.5%
55.4%
P2
48.0%
61.8%
P3
47.1%
61.5%
OT
47.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |