Elias Pettersson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 58.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 82.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Pettersson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Pettersson
Pageau
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
0
Pettersson
Pageau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
5
Pettersson
Pageau
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Pettersson
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
55.8% (9,525)
-10.5%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
57.0% (1,008)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
49.6% (2,077)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,768).
Pettersson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pageau
Home
46.8% (2,757)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Pettersson
Pageau
P1
44.7%
54.7%
P2
46.1%
56.3%
P3
47.4%
53.5%
OT
39.7%
54.4%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |