Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Pettersson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pettersson
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
60.9% (1,043)
-17.0%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
60.4% (278)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
47.6% (21)
-2.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pettersson is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Pettersson shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Tavares
Home
45.5% (290)
63.5% (684)
Away
42.4% (250)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Pettersson
Tavares
P1
40.2%
60.3%
P2
43.9%
60.4%
P3
48.8%
60.1%
OT
42.9%
92.3%
Final 5 min
37.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |