Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.3% vs Tavares 56.7% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 81.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 74.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 81.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Pettersson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Pettersson
Tavares
Last 5: Pettersson 0-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Pettersson
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Pettersson
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
57.7% (956)
-11.4%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
55.7% (244)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
52.2% (23)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pettersson is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (771).
Pettersson shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Tavares
Home
49.1% (607)
57.4% (636)
Away
44.9% (575)
57.1% (587)
By Period
Pettersson
Tavares
P1
46.1%
57.1%
P2
48.1%
57.0%
P3
46.8%
57.6%
OT
47.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
44.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |